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The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Step 3. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Then the probability of Mr. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Onward to freedom! dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Just go have some fucking fun! Dr. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. You may think You say that to everyone!. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Something was dropped and then picked up. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. I think that was exactly Msgr. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Think of yourself as dead. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. An unimaginably long time. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. That's 150,000 generations. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Is that an African fly or a European one? It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. On one try. Do you know the odds of being alive? The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Step 4. They agree to within a factor of two! The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. One in 2,000. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. So whats the probability of your existing? On one try. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Your email address will not be published. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Probability is a pure odd. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. xx, Lets be social! Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Hello there! Which one's bigger? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Step 1. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Then the probability of Mr. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Please pass this post along. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). They each roll the dice and they all come up with. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. June 5. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Thats a pretty good trip. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Yet here we are. Step 2. Scripture says. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Maybe that one would have been better. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Whoa. You have lived your life. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Step 2. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Are they gross exaggerations? To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Its maddening to see people worry so much. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. What are the odds of that? Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Thats 150,000 generations. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Or stalk me (with love.). Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Thats a ridiculously huge number. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. On one try. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Why? Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean.

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